Nhật Nguyệt

知识库 / 东方

相术

Do AI Face-Reading Apps Actually Predict Personality? What Machine Learning on 31,367 Photos Says

传统术数 古代解读体系。

分享:
東
TL;DR: When an app reads a selfie and returns a personality profile, the available science shows only a small group-level signal: a neural network in Kachur and Osin's 2020 study predicted self-reported Big Five scores somewhat above chance, with modest correlations, the highest around 0.36 for conscientiousness. That signal is not strong enough to predict any one person's personality, let alone fate or the rules of East Asian face reading. No study has been done on Vietnamese people, and none has tested the facial positions of traditional face reading.

本文标签:历史文献民间观念证据不足如何阅读标签

What Is an AI Face-Reading App Actually Doing?

When an app reads a selfie and returns a personality profile, technically it is usually running a machine learning model trained on a labelled image set. Those labels may be personality scores the people in the photos reported themselves, scores rated by others, or some label the developer invented. What the app returns is not "reading" the face in the face-reading sense, but an estimated number from the image sample, based on what the model learned from its training data.

The central question of this article is narrower than "is face reading true". Here we only ask: when machine learning works on real photos, how far can it predict? The studies cited below measure on real photographs, mostly abroad, and measure personality using the Big Five model, not fate or the facial positions of traditional face reading. Their results therefore cannot be used to affirm or deny the rules of East Asian face reading; they only speak to the limits of predicting personality from images.

What Does the Largest Study Say About Accuracy?

知识类别: 史料历史文献. 有文献、年代与出处;旁边的注释编号指向该出处。 五类标签The largest study in this group is by Alexander Kachur and Evgeny Osin with colleagues, published in 2020 in Scientific Reports1. The team recruited 12,447 volunteers, with a total of 31,367 face photos, and each person self-reported their Big Five scores1. They then trained a chain of artificial neural networks to predict self-reported scores from the images1.

The main result: the model predicted personality traits above chance in a statistically significant way, for both men and women1. The highest correlation fell on conscientiousness, around 0.360 for men and 0.335 for women; the average effect size was 0.2431. The authors also noted that this result was higher than earlier studies using selfie photos1. This was the first time a study achieved significant prediction for the openness to experience trait1.

This number needs to be read correctly. A correlation of 0.36 does not mean that looking at a photo tells you whether that person is conscientious. In the study, predictions were tested on a validation set of 3,137 photos from 1,245 individuals1. The authors also state an important limitation: their sample was mainly white, Russian-speaking, from one cultural and age group1. That means the result has not been tested on Vietnamese people or on other ethnic, cultural, or age groups. In addition, this is a single study at evidence level B: it shows a real phenomenon in that sample, but it has not been widely replicated to become a firm conclusion.

One technical detail worth noting: the authors used only photos with neutral or near-neutral expression, and they explained that weaker effects for extraversion and neuroticism may be because these two traits are tied to positive and negative emotional experience, while the photos used for training had expression filtered out1. The team also remarked that real-life photos, especially photos participants chose themselves, are a whole behaviour that may contain many cues beyond static facial features, such as lighting, hairstyle, head angle, and image quality1. This is a very important point when judging a commercial app: the model may be learning from the photo context, not only from the face.

What Do Composite-Photo Experiments Show?

知识类别: 史料历史文献. 有文献、年代与出处;旁边的注释编号指向该出处。 五类标签Before the 2020 study, Anthony C. Little and David I. Perrett published a composite-photo experiment in 2007 in the British Journal of Psychology2. The method was to composite photos of people scoring high and people scoring low on each personality trait, then have participants guess the trait from the composite2. The summary result: raters guessed above chance, most clearly for conscientiousness and extraversion; attractiveness, masculinity, and age were mediating cues2.

The point to stress: this is guessing on a composite of a whole group, not on individuals2. The composite removed or held constant many individual features, so the task is much easier than looking at one real face and predicting that person's personality. Kachur and Osin also noted that studies using composite photos tend to give stronger effect sizes, while studies using real individual photos tend to give more modest effects1. So if an app advertises based on "composite photos predicted correctly" results, one must understand that these are group-level results, not individual-level.

Where Does First Impression from a Face Go Wrong, and How Dangerous Is It?

知识类别: 史料历史文献. 有文献、年代与出处;旁边的注释编号指向该出处。 五类标签A 2015 review by Alexander Todorov and colleagues in the Annual Review of Psychology shows that people infer personality from faces very quickly and many people agree with one another, but accuracy is low3. These impressions still drive real decisions such as elections, hiring, and sentencing3.

This means the feeling that "you can know a person by looking at their face" is very strong, but strong does not mean correct. When an AI app returns a result that looks plausible, users easily believe it because it matches a pre-existing impression. But according to Todorov, that pre-existing impression is precisely what is often wrong and can lead to wrong decisions about others3. This is why researchers stress that predicting personality from faces should not be used as a basis for important decisions about a specific person.

What Does the Meta-Analysis on Trustworthiness Say?

知识类别: 史料历史文献. 有文献、年代与出处;旁边的注释编号指向该出处。 五类标签Y. Z. Foo and colleagues in 2021 published in Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin two meta-analyses on accuracy in judging trustworthiness from faces4. The summary result: there is accuracy but it is modest, with correlations around 0.14 at the face level and 0.27 at the rater level, and it depends on the behavioural domain4. The authors asked whether this is a "kernel of truth" or "modern phrenology", and concluded against reading personality confidently from faces4.

This is evidence level A, meaning a synthesis of many studies, so it carries more weight than a single study. The numbers 0.14 and 0.27 show a real but very small signal: enough to say that faces carry a little information about how others perceive someone, but not enough to conclude about an individual's true personality.

Comparison Table of the Studies

StudySample size / data scopeTraits predictedCorrelation levelWhat it does not measure
Kachur and Osin et al. (2020), Scientific Reports112,447 people, 31,367 photos; white Russian speakers; validation set of 3,137 photos from 1,245 peopleAll five Big Five traits, above chance; strongest is conscientiousnessHighest around 0.360 (men) and 0.335 (women) for conscientiousness; average effect size 0.243Does not measure fate, does not test face-reading rules, does not measure on Vietnamese people
Little and Perrett (2007), British Journal of Psychology2Composite photos of high-scoring and low-scoring groupsConscientiousness and extraversion most clearly; mediating cues: attractiveness, masculinity, ageAbove chance (the catalogue card gives no number)Guessing on group composites, not individuals
Todorov et al. (2015), Annual Review of Psychology3Systematic reviewSocial attributions from faces: fast, high consensus, low accuracyNo number given in the catalogue cardDoes not measure fate; stresses impressions drive real decisions
Foo et al. (2021), PSPB4Two meta-analysesTrustworthiness from facesAround 0.14 at face level, 0.27 at rater levelDepends on behavioural domain; does not support reading personality confidently from faces

Why Is There Still a Small Signal?

知识类别: 史料历史文献. 有文献、年代与出处;旁边的注释编号指向该出处。 五类标签Kachur and Osin and colleagues give four groups of possible reasons for the link between face photos and personality1. First, some personality traits are tied to frequent emotional expressive behaviour, and frequent expression may shape static facial features, creating wrinkles or developing facial muscles1. Second, appearance may influence how others treat a person, which in turn influences personality development, in a self-fulfilling or self-defeating prophecy pattern1. Third, facial morphological features may be related to some personality traits1. Fourth, real-life photos also contain cues beyond the face, such as lighting, hairstyle, and camera angle1.

Because there are so many pathways, the small signal in the research should not be read as "the face determines personality". It only says that in a specific dataset, there is a weak link between photos and self-reported scores. That weak link does not allow predicting a specific person correctly, and even less does it allow inferring fate.

What This Article Does Not Say

This article does not evaluate any specific face-reading app, because there is no independent validation data on those apps. This article also does not test the facial positions of East Asian face reading such as forehead, eyes, nose, chin, or rules like three courts and five mountains. The studies cited here measure personality using the Big Five model, a Western framework, and do not measure face-reading concepts. Their results therefore cannot be used to affirm whether face reading is true or false; they only speak to the limits of predicting personality from images by machine learning.

知识类别: 证据不足证据不足. 有人提出,但尚无足够的出处或研究可以确认。 五类标签There is currently no research on Vietnamese people about predicting personality from face photos, and no research testing East Asian face-reading rules by machine learning methods. This is an evidence gap that needs to be stated clearly, rather than broadly extrapolating from foreign results to Vietnamese people.

The Effect Is Real but Born from Belief

知识类别: 民间观念民间观念. 人们相信、禁忌或口耳相传之事,作为信仰记录,而非已核实的事实。 五类标签In folk belief, many people believe that looking at a face can predict personality, and some practitioners of face reading rely on that belief. This belief can produce a real effect through another path: when people believe a description about themselves, they may change their behaviour, and changed behaviour can lead to different outcomes. This is a real effect, but it is born from belief and behaviour, not from the system "predicting correctly" from the face. In other words, two things must be distinguished: the system predicting correctly, and the believer changing behaviour. Only the second has a clear mechanism, and it does not turn the system into an accurate measurement tool.

The right way for app users to read it: treat the result as entertainment, not as a basis for decisions about a specific person's work, love, or money. For developers, the worthwhile thing is to publish the sample size, data scope, and true correlation level, instead of only saying "AI predicts accurately".

Link to an Existing Article

The article What Science Says About Face Reading presented the foundation on Todorov and Foo, that is, the reviews on the accuracy of impressions from faces. This article adds the machine learning angle on photos, focusing on the question of AI apps and the size of the signal in studies using real photos.

这些对你有用吗?

常见问题

Ứng dụng AI xem tướng mặt có đoán đúng tính cách của tôi không?

No. The available research shows only a small group-level signal: a neural network in Kachur and Osin's 2020 study predicted self-reported Big Five scores above chance, with correlations around 0.36 at the highest for conscientiousness, and the sample was mainly white Russian speakers. That level is not enough to predict any one person's personality, and no study has tested this on Vietnamese people.

Máy học trên 31.367 bức ảnh đã chứng minh được điều gì?

It showed that a neural network trained on 31,367 face photos from 12,447 people could predict self-reported Big Five personality scores above chance in a statistically significant way, for both men and women, with the highest correlation around 0.360 for conscientiousness in men and 0.335 in women, and an average effect size of 0.243. The authors noted this was higher than earlier selfie studies, but also stated the sample was mainly white Russian speakers, so the result has not been tested on Vietnamese people or other groups.

Vì sao nhìn mặt đoán tính cách vẫn có cảm giác đúng?

Because the feeling of knowing a person by their face is very strong, and when an AI app returns a plausible result, it easily matches a pre-existing impression. Todorov and colleagues' 2015 review shows that people infer personality from faces very quickly and many agree with one another, but accuracy is low, and these impressions still drive real decisions such as elections, hiring, and sentencing. So the feeling of being right comes from the impression, not from accurate prediction.

相关文章

相关查询工具

参考来源

  1. ↑ abcdefghijklmnopqrAlexander Kachur và cộng sự (2020). Assessing the Big Five personality traits using real-life static facial images. Scientific Reports 10(1), 8487, trang 1, phần Abstract và Results; trang 3, phần Methods; trang 5, phần Discussion; trang 6, phần LimitationsVolunteer participants (N = 12,447) provided their face photographs (31,367 images) and completed a self-report measure of the Big Five traits.
  2. ↑ abcdeAnthony C. Little và David I. Perrett (2007). Using composite images to assess accuracy in personality attribution to faces. British Journal of Psychology 98(1): 111-126, thẻ thư mục, tóm tắt do Nhật Nguyệt viếtDùng ảnh ghép của nhóm điểm cao và điểm thấp một nét tính cách: người đoán đúng trên mức may rủi, rõ nhất với tận tâm và hướng ngoại; sức hút, nam tính, tuổi là các manh mối trung gian.
  3. ↑ abcdAlexander Todorov và cộng sự (2015). Social Attributions from Faces: Determinants, Consequences, Accuracy, and Functional Significance. Annual Review of Psychology 66(1): 519-545, thẻ thư mục, tóm tắt do Nhật Nguyệt viếtTổng quan về việc người ta suy tính cách từ khuôn mặt: suy luận rất nhanh và nhiều người đồng thuận, nhưng độ chính xác thấp; ấn tượng vẫn chi phối quyết định thật như bầu cử, tuyển dụng, xét xử.
  4. ↑ abcdY. Z. Foo và cộng sự (2021). Accuracy in Facial Trustworthiness Impressions: Kernel of Truth or Modern Physiognomy? A Meta-Analysis. Personality and Social Psychology Bulletin 48(11): 1580-1596, thẻ thư mục, tóm tắt do Nhật Nguyệt viếtHai phân tích gộp về độ chính xác khi đoán mức đáng tin từ khuôn mặt: có độ chính xác nhưng khiêm tốn (r khoảng 0,14 ở cấp khuôn mặt, 0,27 ở cấp người đoán), phụ thuộc lĩnh vực hành vi.
#AIFaceReading#PhysiognomyNhanTuongHoc#FacialMachineLearning#BigFive#PredictingPersonalityFromFaces#FacePsychology