Good luck, bad luck, and the hot hand: why random streaks look like they follow a rule
Psychology explains why we read random streaks as good or bad luck, and how the basketball hot hand debate pushed researchers to revise an old conclusion.
Results for "gambler's fallacy"
What is gambler's fallacy?
Gambler's fallacy is the tendency to believe that after a run of results of the same kind, a different result is "due to appear", as if the coin knew how to balance out its own history. Tversky and Kahneman described this phenomenon in 1974 as a consequence of judging probability by representativeness rather than by actual probability.
From the article “Good luck, bad luck, and the hot hand: why random streaks look like they follow a rule”
Illusory correlation: why two events happening close together make the brain think one causes the other
Illusory correlation is the brain seeing a link between two events when none exists, because rare and striking events grab attention and stick in memory.
Why Humans See Patterns Where None Exist: From Faces in Clouds to Repeating Numbers in Life
Apophenia explains why the brain sees faces in clouds, repeating numbers and patterns in random data, plus where the line to delusion lies.
Critical Thinking Before a Claim: Five Questions to Ask and the Most Common Logical Fallacies
Before a claim, split it into statement, reason, and evidence, then ask five questions. Common errors include confirmation bias and sunk cost.
Online Fortune Telling: Where Entertainment Ends and Scams Begin, and the Lines That Make Viewers Pay
Online fortune telling can be harmless fun, but scams steal money and personal data. Warning signs include fear tactics and upfront transfer demands.
Reading a Career on a Tử Vi Chart: Which Palaces, Which Star Sets, and Where to Stop?
A career reading on a Tử Vi chart centres on the Mệnh, Tài Bạch and Quan Lộc triangle, the Phu Thê palace opposite, plus Thiên Di and Phúc Đức.
Hóa Kỵ Star in the Four Transformations - Its Role in Zi Wei Dou Shu Chart Interpretation
Hóa Kỵ in the Four Transformations of Zi Wei Dou Shu: its meaning, position, and how it reads with auspicious or inauspicious stars in the chart.
Do People Turn to Divination More When They Feel Anxious? Research on Stress, Control and Ritual
Anxiety and ritual seeking track together in observational data, but experiments that induced lost control have not replicated.
The Money Line in Palmistry: Meaning and How to Read It
The Money Line in palmistry is a mix of minor lines, mainly the Fate line, Head line and Mount of the Moon branches, and can suggest financial potential.
The Meaning of The Fool and the Fool's Journey Through the 22 Major Arcana
Explore the meaning of The Fool in Tarot and the concept of the Fool's Journey, how the 22 Major Arcana cards narrate the stages of human growth and life.