Good luck, bad luck, and the hot hand: why random streaks look like they follow a rule
Psychology explains why we read random streaks as good or bad luck, and how the basketball hot hand debate pushed researchers to revise an old conclusion.
Results for "hot hand"
Is the hot hand in basketball real?
A 1985 study by Gilovich and colleagues concluded that it was a cognitive illusion. In 2018, Miller and Sanjurjo showed that the measurement method of the 1985 study was biased, and that once this bias was corrected, the very same old data showed a hot hand effect. This is a statistical effect in shooting data, not evidence for a supernatural force.
From the article “Good luck, bad luck, and the hot hand: why random streaks look like they follow a rule”
Cold reading: The technique that makes a vague statement sound like it hits your private life
Cold reading uses body language, double-edged statements and the Barnum effect to make vague claims feel like an accurate reading of your private life.
What Palm Reading Is: How Palm Lines Are Read and Why They Cannot Predict the Future
Palm reading is a folk divination practice that reads palm lines to infer personality and destiny, yet it has no scientific basis.
Critical Thinking Before a Claim: Five Questions to Ask and the Most Common Logical Fallacies
Before a claim, split it into statement, reason, and evidence, then ask five questions. Common errors include confirmation bias and sunk cost.
Reading the Whole Hand Instead of Individual Lines: How the Five Major Lines Relate When Read Together
A practical guide to reading the five major lines as one interacting system, with steps for comparing both hands and staying objective.
How do Vietnamese and ethnic minority soul-calling and spirit-calling rituals work?
Soul-calling rites after illness, a fall, fright or a long journey: who performs them, the offerings, how the calling is done, and how ethnic groups differ.
Fire Physiognomy in Face Reading: Key Identifying Traits
Fire physiognomy in face reading: a pointed face, rosy skin, reddish hair and a hurried gait mark the Fire element type.
Fire Jumping Ritual of the Red Dao People in Yên Bái
The fire jumping ritual of the Red Dao people in Yên Bái is held during maturity or exorcism ceremonies, with dancing on embers and prayers for peace.
Tarot King of Wands - Symbolism and In-Depth Meaning
Discover the in-depth meaning of the King of Wands tarot card: its symbolism, personality traits, love, career, and advice when it appears.
Traditional Cuisine in the Cultural Festivals of the Chơ Ro People
Chơ Ro festivals use dishes like canh boi, com lam and five-color sticky rice as cultural symbols and a bridge for preserving identity.
How Do Families in Vietnam's Three Regions Hold the Year-End Ancestor-Welcoming Ceremony on the 30th of Tet?
The rite on the afternoon of the 30th of Tet invites ancestors home for the New Year. North, Central and South differ mainly in the feast and the fruit tray.
Personality Traits of People Born in the Year of the Dragon According to Folk Beliefs
Explore the personality of Dragon people through folk wisdom: strong, authoritative, ambitious, generous, yet also hot-tempered and arrogant.
What Is Ca Tru: Dao Nuong, Kep Dan, Quan Vien Cam Chau, How a Performance Unfolds, and Why This Heritage Almost Disappeared
Ca tru is an ancient Vietnamese chamber singing form with a dao nuong, a kep dan and a quan vien cam chau. This article explains its structure and revival.
The Shang (Metal) Voice in Chinese Physiognomy - What Your Voice Reveals
The Shang voice belongs to the Metal element in the Five Tones, clear and decisive like a bell. It marks an elevated temperament and a natural leader.
Water Shape Physiognomy in Chinese Face Reading: Key Identifying Traits
Water shape face reading traits include a full soft body, bright skin and eyes, a gentle flexible nature, and a talent for business, with notes on health.
The Vietnamese Lunar Calendar Is Actually a Lunisolar Calendar: Why the Shortened Name 'Lunar Calendar' Causes Misunderstanding
The Vietnamese lunar calendar is actually a lunisolar calendar combining the moon's phases and Earth's orbit around the Sun.
How to Write the Mùng 1 Ancestor Prayer Text Correctly? Structure, Words, and Points to Note
The mùng 1 ancestor prayer text has five parts, with variants in wording and in the order of honoring deities versus ancestors.
What is tuồng (hát bội)? Face-painting art, Bình Định hát bội and the Đào Tấn heritage
Tuồng, or hát bội, is Vietnam's classical theatre, known for coded face-painting and for the plays of Đào Tấn in Bình Định, its heartland.
Tết Rites in Southern Vietnam: Welcoming the Ancestors, the Giao Thừa Offering, Tết Nhà on the Third and the Farewell
Tet rites in southern Vietnam: welcoming the ancestors on the 30th, giao thừa offerings outdoors and indoors, Tết nhà on the third, farewell on the fourth.
Extraverted Sensing (Se) Cognitive Function in MBTI: Meaning and Manifestations
Extraverted Sensing (Se) in MBTI: its definition and mechanics, how it shows up across the personality types, plus strengths and weaknesses.
Mole on the Back of the Neck: Meaning in Folk Physiognomy
A mole on the back of the neck points to a rich imagination and a strong inner life in folk physiognomy, and to a fate of ups and downs.
What is the Nayin 'Thoa Xuyến Kim' (Hairpin Gold) in the Sexagenary Cycle? Five Elements Meaning
Thoa Xuyến Kim is the Nayin for Canh Tuất (1970) and Tân Hợi (1971), Metal element. Its meaning covers traits, compatible colors and feng shui items.
Meaning of the Four Clash Group Dragon - Dog - Ox - Goat in Eastern Folk Belief
The Four Clash group Dragon, Dog, Ox, Goat pairs two opposing branches. Eastern folk belief sees conflict in business and marriage, yet growth too.
Mnong People: Where They Live, Their Language, Worship Customs and Main Festivals
The Mnong speak a Mon-Khmer language and live mainly in Đắk Lắk and Lâm Đồng, with matrilineal culture and buffalo sacrifice at the new rice festival.
The Forer Experiment: A Whole Class Received the Same Personality Description and Everyone Felt It Was Accurate, Plus How to Test It Yourself in Ten Minutes
In his 1949 paper, Bertram Forer reports giving 39 students one identical personality sketch from an astrology book; the class still rated it accurate.
What is the 'Useful God' (Yong Shen) in BaZi (Four Pillars)?
The Useful God (Yong Shen) is the element that balances a BaZi chart. See how it is found and how it guides luck cycles, feng shui and career advice.
Đào Nhật Tân and Hanoi's Tet Flower Market: What Makes Them Special? Peach Varieties, Growing Craft, and the Tet Peach Tradition
Đào Nhật Tân is prized for its thick-petaled đào bích and đào phai. Learn the varieties, Nhật Tân growing craft, and Hanoi's Tet peach tradition.
Five-Color Sticky Rice of the Tay People: Natural Colors in the Lồng Tồng Festival
Five-color sticky rice is essential to the Tay people's Lồng Tồng festival, its colors drawn from natural leaves, roots and fruits with five-element meaning.
The La Chí People: Settlement, Language, Worship Customs and Main Festivals
The La Chí people live mainly in Hà Giang, speak a Ka Đai language, keep a separate altar for each man in the house, and hold folk games during Tet.
Why superstition never disappears: from Skinner's pigeon experiment to an evolutionary model
Superstition survives because our learning machinery produces it: chance coincidences become rituals, and false beliefs may cost less than missed causes.
The First-Foot Custom at Lunar New Year: Origins, How Old Vietnamese Chose the First Visitor, and How the Custom Is Changing
First-footing is an old Vietnamese Tet custom: the first person to enter a home after midnight is believed to carry the year's fortune.
Hexagram 29 Kan, the Repeating Pit (Tập Khảm, 坎, ䷜): doubled danger and how to pass through it
Hexagram 29 Kan (Tập Khảm, 坎, ䷜) stacks Kan over Kan, danger upon danger. The Judgement, Image, and six line texts, plus how to pass through peril.
Tử Vi Chart Patterns Through Diagrams: 16 Classic Patterns, How Each Forms and Why It Is Considered Noble
Sixteen classic Tử Vi chart patterns shown through diagrams, including Tử Phủ đồng cung, Thất Sát triều đẩu and Cơ Nguyệt Đồng Lương, and how each forms.